FORESIGHT

UNIDO Foresight Handbooks

1. Introduction

2. Technology foresight defined

What is technology foresight? 7

3. The development of foresight

Historical evolution of foresight 8

Technology foresight in Japan 8

Technology foresight in the United States 10

Technology foresight in the Netherlands 10

Technology foresight in Germany 12

Technology foresight in France 13

Technology foresight in other countries 15

Evolution of rationales through three generations 16

The focus of foresight programmes 16

4. Why has foresight become important?

Global driving forces and the challenges for technology policy 17

Increasing competition 17

Increasing constraints on public expenditure 18

Increasing complexity 19

Increasing importance of scientific and technological competencies 19

The changing social contract between S&T and society 20

Some further reasons for the increasing popularity of foresight 20

5. Challenges for transition countries

Issues for transition countries 22

Recommendations for emerging economies 24

6. Evaluation of foresight

Some evaluation experiences 29

Case l: UK foresight evaluation experiences 30

Case 2: Evaluation of German FUTUR initiative 32

Emerging lessons—policy tool and the fourth generation

Vol 2 contains:

Module 4 Technology Foresight at the National Level

Module 5 Technology Foresight at the Supranational Level

Module 6 Technology Foresight at the Subnational Regional Level

Module 7 Technology Foresight at the Company Level

# posted by Ian Miles @ 4:09 AM